The Black Hand would probably capture the Japanese island first

Would they be able to use there nuclear sub against the Black Hand

The Black Hand would then capture the city with some drop zone choppers

Then would move in to capture the desert and mountains

The rest is history

The U1 submarine was probably powered by a nuclear reactor, but the rest of its armament was relatively weak. It has an unknown number of small guided missiles and 4 nuclear missiles and a few helicopters and a few AA guns. The missiles and helicopters were used up during the missions. So... did it have more missiles stored inside? If it did, then it could maybe change the tide with a nuclear strike, but we'll never know for sure.

I disagree . The panauan military existed way before the black hand even became a private military . Diffrence is that black hand are private military and private military have inferior to traing to an actual army . The panaun military can use there fighter jets . In gameplay we don't ever see them using it in combat but they still fly them wich mean they definetly use them for combat . Just because we don't see them in gameplay fighting with them dosent mean they don't know how to use the jets weapons otherwise why else would they use them . The si 47 leopard wich is more maneuvrable then any black hand jet in just cause 4 except the micro jets . But even the micro jets won't stand a chance since it only has machine guns that are actualy weak . Si 47 lepoard has more powerful armaments . Then you have the g9 eclipse wich has auto canons sure it is less maneuvrable than any black hand jets but it can destroy the black hand jets in just 2 hits . The balck hand will not be occupying anything in panau because first of their jets and helicopters would be easily defeated in panau because the panauan solder will use guerilla warfare on them and they know their land better than black hand do . The black hand is t a superpower now let alone an actual army . In facts it's solders are a lot more inferior to the panaun solders . They have inferior accuracy and Armour aswell. A panauan military elites can take much more shots than balck hand elite in just cause 4 .The balck hand elites has much more health in just cause 3 then they do in jc4 . In jc3 it take 14 shots with a pistol to take them out and in jc2 it takes 15 shots with a pistol to kill a panauan elite. But panauan elite has advantage because they can actualy aim . Panau air force would shoot down the balck airforce due to their better jets and pilots . Like common a single balck hand in a machine gun chopper in both jc3 and jc4 can't even kill you without support from any other enemies. Then you also forget about SAM sites in panau that will shoot down all the balck hand jets . In fact just cause 2 has most SAM sites out of all the just cause games. I also don't see how panau army was poorly equipped when they have modern weapons like M16 and desert eagle wich may not have abilities like balck hand weapons in just cause 4 but they have stronger firepower . Just compare the machine guns and mininguns in just cause 2 to just cause 4 . The miniguns in jc2 can destroy veichles in seconds compared to just cause 4 . Now let's compare the tanks . The only advantage black hand tanks have is durability but the panauan military tanks have better advantages that will give it the win . It has better firepower and the machineguns can d shred through viechles and the tanks have auto cannons wich means that the panau military tanks will land more shots than black hand tanks destroying the black hand tanks first. The panaun military tanks also have better mobility and speed advantage and turret rotation.

The panauan airforce is a complete joke. They're the only ones who don't know how to use their planes weapons, as can be easily proven by flying another plane in front of their plane during heat. In fact, they can barely fly in a straight line with out crashing into mountains. And even if they could use those weapons, what would they even use them for? They only have MGs (not very useful in a modern war) and unguided rockets, which are only useful for bombarding ground targets. What kind of a serious airforce would waste modern fighters by only equipping unguided rockets?

And as for the body armor used by the Black Hand: This was actually addressed on the Solis Hoy radio by one of the hosts who used to be a BH member himself. He mentioned that the units sent on foreign missions are generally better equipped than the ones at Solis. So obviously, the soldiers on foreign missions had good body armor. The units at Solis are pretty much in the duty of the police. But despite only being second-rate units, they have complete situational awareness and unit co-ordination, so Rico can't just easily avoid heat. In Panau, in some rural areas it's actually impossible to maintain heat, because heat will disappear by the time the next patrol shows up. Solis will have tanks and APCs available anywhere at a moments notice.

The panauan SAMs are the least technologically advanced in the known JC universe. They're enormous, despite the missiles having the least amount of range. And to add to that, it was mentioned in the opening mission that the u.s. sold Panau the "flak cannons", which are 1940s technology, only as recently as Papa Panays rule. That means that they bought those obsolete SAMs some time during the recent years (leading up to the game events). The only advantage that the panauan SAMs have is that, as seen during the first mission, their bottom platform is a bunker, which means that the SAM launcher is meant to remain protected from long-range weapons until enemy aircraft are detected in the vicinity.

The reason why just cause 2 jets and helicopter have unguided rockets in gameplay is probably only when players use them . Like the green rocket launcher enemy's use for example they can lock on to you with those rocket launchers but we as the player can't even use it's lock on features . Same with the helicopters with rockets the rockets will sometimes lock on to you but only if rico is in a viechle but I don't know if same can be said about planes. Yes I completely agree about heat in just cause 2 they should have updated that . It's frustrating to get high heat from low heat because the game only sends to 2 jeeps and 1 motorcycle and when you kill them it take about like 40-44 seconds for the next wave of reinforcement to spawn and they spawn far away aswell then you're heat will start decreasing because of that. But when in actual combat with panau military I find them challenging because they can snipe you with any weapons even shotguns wich are supposed to be close range weapons but in jc3 and 4 I don't even put any effort in combat it is that easy. As for the SAM sites the panau military did not buy them from a country they made those SAM themselves . I would personally say they are most technological advanced . The ones in jc3 and jc4 do have a faster rate of fire but have inferior accuracy and range. The panau military do know how to use their weapons on jets hence why they fly them we just don't seem them use it in gameplay because it would make gameplay unfair same with tanks . That's why they added back tank combat in just cause 3 because they made targeting systems for them unlike the ones in the first game wich sees you then goes shoot at you directly with its canon killing the palyer in a unfair way.

As for the SAM they are actualy superior to the ones in just cause 3 and 4 . The ones in 3 and 4 can be destroyed with pistols assault rifles etc but the SAM in jc2 can only be destroyed with explosives and armor piercing rounds . In just cause 2 yes it is possible to see a military pilot crash in to a mountain but it's very uncommon in this game in fact it is a lot more common to see fighter pilots crashing into mountains in jc3 and jc4 it happens every time I play those games . In jc3 most of the time game says enemy jet destroyed I didn't even destroy myself they either crash into a mountain or even worse dive straight into the ground same in jc4. Yes flak cannons 1940s technology but black hand use them more often . Flak canons are rare to find in jc2 but in jc4 it is a lot more common . The flak canon are inferior in jc4 then they are in jc2 . They are short barrel flaks with inferior firepower and range. As for the foreign black hand the one in just cause 1 shouldn't even bee in the game they have the exact same stats as a San esperitan elite so I don't know the point of mercenaries with same tactic as military elites are in the game . But compare a black hand solder in jc3 and a armored enemy in jc2 . Armored enemy in jc2 take up to 15 shots with bullets to kil in jc3 it take about 14 . Not a significant diffrence offcourse but the armored solder of jc2 will certainly win not only because they can hit majority of shots they fire unlike in jc3 where they have worse aim than stormtroopers but if you throw a grenade at such enemies in jc2 they actualy roll away unlike in jc3 and 4 where they panic an let the grenades blow them up.